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Project Blue Book Special Report (second copy)

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This is Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14, "Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects," Project No. 10073, dated 5 May 1955. The study reduced about 4,000 sighting reports received by the U.S. Air Force between June 1947 and December 1952 to IBM punched cards and analyzed them statistically, including chi square tests comparing knowns with unknowns. It concludes that the reports very probably do not represent technological developments beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced physical evidence.

  • p. 1 …10073 5 MAY 1955 5 > c 2 o c/> c/1 • " >n CO 3 - O < * A…
  • p. 15 /v Identification of Working Papers The actualjreduction of d.ata to IBM jaujijchedj^c_a.rd…
  • p. 27 Unknown 434 = 19.7% '952 Other 233 = 10.3% Astronomical 479 =21.8 % 1947-51 C…
  • p. 28 …of object sightings 2(99 79 c <u a. 121 1501 Ilnsuf. — —info. All years 1947…
  • p. 29 …6 0 CO .c c 50 o o 4 0 o UJ c o - w. 0…
  • p. 30 …2 r I 1 tz | 1 c 1 r C —" 1 1 1 I 1 i…
  • p. 31 * • < * , ^ | j f c en Unknown object sightings J F M A M J J A S…
  • p. 33 ro 100 90 60 70 <_ 60 c 0) U 50 No. of object sightings 2199 79…
  • p. 35 i r c o Ik. 0> CL 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20…
  • p. 37 ro c O 100- 90- 80" 70- 60- 50" 40- 3 0- 20- 10- 0. Not…
  • p. 38 …50 o 40 o UJ o ,30 c O 2 0 10 « o 0. Jan Feb…
  • p. 39 …80- 7 0 - 60- 4- C d) O 50- £ 4 0 - 30- 20- 10- 0_ Not…
  • p. 41 100- « 90- O g" 80- S T O - c £ 60- = 50- < i^ 4 0 - -«— v 30…
  • p. 48 Total Less Astronomical; 4 0 30 Per Cent 20 10 € Z Astronomical Per Cent c January…
  • p. 49 f Total Less Aircraft 40 i 30 Per Cent 20 i 10 Aircraft Per Cent c…
  • p. 50 Total Less Balloon 40 30 Per Cent 20 101 1 - 1 • c January February March April…
  • p. 51 Total Less Insufficient Information Insufficient Information 4 0 Per Cent 30 20 10 C c January…
  • p. 52 Total Less Other 40 30 Per Cent 20 (0 Other Per Cent c January February• March…
  • p. 82 …56 6.72 0.47 ~> Q C A do. 54 5.42 f Total 1286 434…
  • p. 87 …turn, during which time it blinked some C—lights which looked like running lights. While the…
  • p. 112 …Evaluation of Unit Sightings for All Years by North A m e r i c a…
  • p. 114 …7,1 16 2lfl> (41 /«•> ?10> \#/f C (• ?*? (4$ zts >er Cent Doubllul 0 0 e7…
  • p. 116 …0 0.0 0.0 n.5 O.C 10.5 Doubtful 7J '2.0, 1…
  • p. 118 …Number Certain ; o c 0 0 0 o 0 J L Doubtful 0 .o Ao Total…
  • p. 119 …a 0.O 00 \0.O - ao Total JAL 0-C 3.0 0.0 *•? 3…
  • p. 120 …4-Birds 5-Clouds, Oust, e t c S-lnsuffic Into. 7-Psyanlojical D-Unknomn Wither…
  • p. 121 …0 c z $' I r , • ; - / c; Percent Certain 0-0 i l l b.b II…
  • p. 122 …Doubtful f 8 3 1 6 t C Q_ 0 0 _?3- Total II 13 t…
  • p. 123 …Number Certain Jo / 0 0 0 3 c H. is? Doubtful 6 2f 13 / 0 9…
  • p. 124 …I 0,0 o.O IOC c Evaluation O-Balloofi 1-Asomoaical 2-Aircnft K i…
  • p. 125 r#AL£ A/7 £//tLi/s>r/an' c 'r / 6 S 0v '&** Evalmhon :fr Balloon…
  • p. 126 …QJL 00 o.O IC-I SS.C Doubtful, Total S.I, Ml o.o 0…
  • p. 127 …7-Psycholofial 8-Unkrnnn tOtner Total Certain , • i c c 0 1 £ Nunber ' Doubtfu 0 / 0…
  • p. 128 …o.o fO.O Doutttul Q.Q /O.I H.I ^_.0.C o.c JLLJ…
  • p. 129 …2t 3 0 \ c 0 It 8 ft Per Cent Certain I2A 13. C I t…
  • p. 130 …C Q.O 0.D 04 30.? Total 10.1 11-9 O.o O.C…
  • p. 131 …t i c S-lnsuNic W o . 7-Psytholoiical t-Unkmnm W t h e r…
  • p. 132 …ToUl c 7 0 o (1 o J 0 1 IQ Pei Cent Certan 0 0…
  • p. 133 …4-Binls Klouds, Oast, etc U n a f l i c Into. 7-Ptythoiopeal t…
  • p. 134 …7-Psydalopal «-Unkao«n Total Certain £ C a i 0 i iQ Numbet Doubtlul c 3…
  • p. 135 …J_ C 0. 0 0 i Doubtfu c c 0 0 o- 0 0 I Total…
  • p. 136 …7-Piy rtoloji a l 1-UnluioMi 9-Otfiei Total Certain o o c c 0…
  • p. 137 …Hunter Certain c /s 0 I 0 / / 0 0 si Doubtful /0 X s c 0…
  • p. 138 …7 0.0 o.c O.o o,o _ £ £ 13.3 Doubtfu o.n 11./ o…
  • p. 139 …4Birds S-Clouds, Dust e t c 6-lnsultit Into. 7PsyclBlo|ical S-Unknowi M M…
  • p. 140 …0.0 2YJ 7g.Y Per C a l l Doubtful I36 f I 0.0…
  • p. 141 …j rt? 0 ^_ ^ _ r J3 Numbei Doubtfu c 0 a a o 1 Total £ 0 o…
  • p. 142 …o o c Total 5 m c 0 i 0 0 0 C O n Pet…
  • p. 143 …4-Birds S-Clouds, Dust, d c frlnsutlic kilo. 7-Psydiok>|ical S-Unlmon K l…
  • p. 144 …4-Bncholo|tcal (-Unknotn 9-Otlw Total c > tV: _ Numbei Certain TDoubtful ft £ 1 ^ r n…
  • p. 145 …7-PiycnoloricH (-Unkaran 9-0010 Total c .Number Certain _ ^ JL 0 0 0 0 u-LlL…
  • p. 147 …as Giovtnc &A£c Li*r 6^o»>/fi/e£r£XH l//,^£r Tor/,*. //^ </£Sts…
  • p. 148 …h03 6-0 0-3 11 m "£?C i. Total OLP-I 01 6-1 46…
  • p. 149 …I-Biiits S-Clouds, Dust, e t c S-lrtnflic Wo. 7-Psvd»lo|ical t…
  • p. 150 …LL /o I Numtw Ooubtfull Total 22 / _ £ _ 2S- «c /r 2- / / i £?\/7 ^3- tZZl 7…
  • p. 151 …3 Z7\ /C.I ?• o O 3?f ToUl 3Vi 3/1 2? o //S ziz…
  • p. 152 …S/fS>/V 7~//l/C. S Z^CsC /9/-i. V/Fsftes £"/ /f{/M/4B…
  • p. 153 …4-Bints 5-Cloods, DusI, e t c 6-lnjuffic Into. 7-Psvdnlojicil 8-Unknown MtJw…
  • p. 154 …4-Binh W l o w h , D n t , e»c t-msatTic. h h…
  • p. 155 …A//l/A7~ SA&A/7~/Al/C> S At9l? /*)i.L V^/fjf^ /&V I…
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STUDY NO. IO2-EL-55/2-79
ANALYSIS OF REPORTS OF
UNIDENTIFIED AERIAL OBJECTS
PROJECT NO. 10073
5 MAY 1955
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Report, cited by the archive. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.