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Project Blue Book Special Report (second copy)

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This is Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14, "Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects," Project No. 10073, dated 5 May 1955. The study reduced about 4,000 sighting reports received by the U.S. Air Force between June 1947 and December 1952 to IBM punched cards and analyzed them statistically, including chi square tests comparing knowns with unknowns. It concludes that the reports very probably do not represent technological developments beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced physical evidence.

  • p. 7 …Air Force on unidentified aerial objects were reduced to IBM punched-card abstracts of the data…
  • p. 10 …form suit- able for transfer to IBM punched cards was extremely difficult ""and time consuming. For…
  • p. 14 …Thus, the selection of the IBM punched- card system for analysis of data forced the adoption…
  • p. 18 …Multiple punching elirninated the need to use several columns for discrete expression of the variations., Selection…
  • p. 22 …counting, and tabulating the information from the punched-card abstracts of reports of sightings. It was…
  • p. 23 f m translation and transcription from reports to punched cards, indicated that there would be relatively…
  • p. 63 …cosines, and tangents of angles had been punched for each 0.01 of a degree from…
  • p. 68 …These group numbers were punched on the cards and incorporated into the coding system. The number…
  • p. 296 Observer's Data Sheet Question WORK SHEET Punched Card Column Code Description 2 3 h Serial…
  • p. 297 Observer's Data Sheet Question Punched Card Column Code Description 6. 7. a. 1 0 . Ui…
  • p. 299 …If no data are available for any column, the Y (or 12 punch) should be used…
  • p. 300 …Air Force Technical Information Sheet Question Punched Card Column Code Description I. f? • f V : HIT…
  • p. 306 …Air Force Technical Information Sheet Question Punched Card Column Code Description 1. 1 2 k 12…
  • p. 307 …Air Force Technical Information Sheet Question Punched Card Column Code Description 3o hi U6 75* 76…
This information consisted of:
(1) Time and date of observation in Greenwich Civil Time
(2) Latitude and longitude of the observer at the time of
observation.
V
&
r
Figure 39 shows a celestial sphere on which 2J_ represents the ob-
server1 s zenith, js represents the sun, and N_ represents the north celestial
pole.
Using the date and time of the observation, the longitude and declina-
tion (S) of the sun were obtained from an ephemeris of the sun and corrected
for the equation of time. The difference between the longitudes of the sun
and the observer was taken, and.called the hour angle (HA on Figure 39).
Then, using the declination of the sun (S_), the latitude of the observer
(lat), and the hour angle (HA), the angle (ZS) between the observer' s zenith
and the sun can be calculated from the law of cosines of spherical trigo-
nometry. Thus, cos Z"S = cos (90 - lat) cos (90 - S) + sin (90 - lat) sin
(90 - S) cos (HA).
Since the angle ZS is measured from the observer's zenith, the angle
of elevation of the sun above the horizon for daytime sightings was found by
taking 90 - ZS. When the sun was below the horizon, the angle of depres-
sion of the sun below the horizon was found by taking ZS - 90..
Having found the angle ZS, the bearing of the sun (angle B) was ob-
tained from the formula:
sin (B) _ sin (HA)
sin (90 - S) = sin (ZS)
All of the above calculations were made with IBM equipment. Sines,
cosines, and^heir inverses were obtained from a deck of 9,000 IBM cards
on which seven-place Peter1 s tables of the sines, cosines, and tangents of
angles had been punched for each 0.01 of a degree from 0 to 90 degrees.
Upon completion of these calculations, the cards representing OBJECT
SIGHTINGS were sorted on the sign of the sine of the bearing angle. This
separated the cards into two groups: (1) sightings which occurred between
noon and midnight, for which the sine of the bearing angle was positive; and
(2) sightings between midnight and noon, for which the sine of the bearing
angle was negative. Then each of these groups was sorted into groups for
intervals of 10° in angle of elevation of the sun from -90° to +90°. A count
was made of the number of cards in each group and from this a histogram
was constructed (Figure 40). The UNKNOWN OBJECT SIGHTINGS were
then sorted out, counted in the same manner, and a histogram was made
(again see Figure 40).
• - • . . . 5 5

Cases discussed

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Report, cited by the archive. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.