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Project Blue Book Special Report (second copy)

Internet Archive · 309 pages · text from the file's own layer

This is Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14, "Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects," Project No. 10073, dated 5 May 1955. The study reduced about 4,000 sighting reports received by the U.S. Air Force between June 1947 and December 1952 to IBM punched cards and analyzed them statistically, including chi square tests comparing knowns with unknowns. It concludes that the reports very probably do not represent technological developments beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced physical evidence.

  • p. 9 …for as misinterpretations of known objects (suchas meteors, balloons, or aircraft), a few as the result…
  • p. 19 …Balloons, aircraft, astronomical bodies (such as meteors), birds, and clouds or dust were recognized as major…
  • p. 44 …mph More than 4 0 0 mph Meteor-like Not stated Unknown Per Cent 15 20…
  • p. 46 …i r 00 Elliptical Rocket and aircraft Meteor or comet Lenticular, conical or teardrop Flame Other…
  • p. 72 …434 434 Shape Elliptical Rocket and aircraft Meteor or comet Teardrop, lenticular, or conical Flame Other…
  • p. 74 …100 to 400 mph Over 400 mph Meteor-like Not stated 249 154 181 403'" 8…
  • p. 76 …There is a higher percentage of KNOWNS in the flame and in the meteor- or comet…
  • p. 80 …OF SHAPE Shape Elliptical Rocket or aircraft Meteor or comet Flame T e a r d…
  • p. 82 TABLE XII Speed Stationary Less than 100 mph 100 to 400 mph Over 400 mph Meteor…
  • p. 84 …The second was slightly increased by the removal of the astro- nomical sightings from the meteor…
  • p. 108 …Evaluation of All Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Meteor or Comet . . . . . . . 190 Table…
  • p. 109 …Evalua^on of Unit Sightings for All Years by Shape of Object, Meteor or Comet 194…
  • p. 110 …Evaluation of Object Sightings for All Years by Reported Speeds of Objects, Meteor-Like Speeds 209…
  • p. 291 …Meteor like Not stated Other CODE X Y 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7…
  • p. 302 …100 - UOO mph More than iiOO mph Meteor-like Not stated Other CODE 63 SHAPE X…
LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS '
(Continued)
Page
Figure 38 Comparison of Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the
South Farwest Region 54
Figure 39 Diagram of a Celestial Sphere 56
Figure 40 Frequency of Object Sightings by Angle of Elevation of the Sun, Intervals
of 10 Degrees of Angle . • , 57
Figure 41 Frequency of Object Sightings by Local Sun Time, Intervals of One Hour 59
Table I Object Sightings 60
Table II Chi Square Test of Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Color 62
Table III Chi Square Test of Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Number 63
Table IV Chi Square Test of Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Shape 64
Table V Chi Square Test of Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Duration of Observation 65
Table VI Chi Square Test of Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Speed b6
Table VII Chi Square Test of Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Light Brightness 67
Table VIII Chi Square Test of Revised Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Color 70
Table IX Chi Square Test of Revised Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Number . 7 1
Table X Chi Square Test of Revised Knowns* Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Shape 72
Table XI Chi Square Test of Revised Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of
Duration of Observation 73
Table XII Chi Square Test of Revised Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Speed 74
Table XIII Chi Square Test of Revised Knowns Versus Unknowns on the Basis of Light Brightness 75
v and vi

Cases discussed

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Report, cited by the archive. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.