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Project Blue Book Special Report (second copy)

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This is Project Blue Book Special Report No. 14, "Analysis of Reports of Unidentified Aerial Objects," Project No. 10073, dated 5 May 1955. The study reduced about 4,000 sighting reports received by the U.S. Air Force between June 1947 and December 1952 to IBM punched cards and analyzed them statistically, including chi square tests comparing knowns with unknowns. It concludes that the reports very probably do not represent technological developments beyond present scientific knowledge, and it notes that no case produced physical evidence.

  • p. 3 …Questionnaire 4 Coding System and Work Sheet 6 Identification of Working Papers 7 Evaluation of Individual…
  • p. 10 …During the course of the work, the number of reports sub- mitted for analysis and evaluation…
  • p. 13 …On the basis of this analysis, plus the experience gained in working with past reports, the…
  • p. 14 Coding System, and Work Sheet The reduction of non-numerical data to numerical form is mandatory…
  • p. 15 /v Identification of Working Papers The actualjreduction of d.ata to IBM jaujijchedj^c_a.rd…
  • p. 16 …most representative report from each MULTIPLE OBSERVATION. (2) The questionnaire, work sheet, and IBM card representing…
  • p. 17 …report for each phenomenon. (2) The questionnaire, work sheet, and IBM card representing a report for…
  • p. 18 …Using one column of the IBM card, and the correlated working papers, the code for this…
  • p. 21 …This work was done at ATIC, periodically, as reports became ready. During an identification conference, each…
  • p. 84 …only of persons previously associated with the work. Using all the UNKNOWNS reports available at ATIC…
  • p. 97 …for a radio station was driving to work from his home when he noticed an object…
  • p. 101 …This feeling of surfeit was universal among the personnel who worked on this project, and continually…
  • p. 261 APPENDIX B WORKING PAPER FORMS M i 255 and 256
  • p. 262 …Codes for Work Sheet Exhibit B5. Work Sheet . Exhibit B6. Codes for Card Bible Exhibit B7…
  • p. 289 t EXHIBIT B4 CODES FOR WORK SHEET ft 289 and 290
  • p. 295 fc! EXHIBIT B5 WORK SHEET • 1 297 and 298
  • p. 296 Observer's Data Sheet Question WORK SHEET Punched Card Column Code Description 2 3 h Serial…
  • p. 299 …These cards (and the corresponding WORK SHEETS) contain data from several sources. Columns referenced to the…
LIST OF ILLUSTRATIONS
(Continued)
Paiie
Figure 14 Distribution of Object Sightings by Months Among the Eight Duration
Groups for All Years 30
Figure 15 Distribution of Object Sightings by Shape of Object(s) Reported With
Evaluation Distribution for Each Shape Group -31
Figure 16 Distribution of Object Sightings by Reported Speed of Object(s) With
Evaluation Distribution for Each Speed Group 32
Figure 17 Distribution of All Sightings by Observer Location for All Years and Each Year 33
Figure 18 Comparison of Known and Unknown Object Sightings by Color, 1947-1952 . 34
Figure 19 Comparison of Known and Unknown Object Sightings by Number of Objects
per Sighting, 1947-1952 . 35
Figure 20 Comparison of Known and Unknown Object Sightings by Speed, 1947-1952 36
Figure 21 Comparison of Known and Unknown Object Sightings by Duration, 1947-1952 37
Figure 22 Comparison of Known and Unknown Object Sightings by Shape, 1947-1952 38
Figure 23 Comparison of Known and Unknown Object Sightings by Light Brightness, 1947-1952 39
Figure 24 Comparison of Monthly Distribution of Object Sightings Evaluated as Astronomical
Versus Total Object Sightings Less Astronomical 40
Figure 25 Comparison of Monthly Distribution of Object Sightings Evaluated as Aircraft
Versus Total Object Sightings Less Aircraft 41
Figure 26 Comparison of Monthly Distribution of Object Sightings Evaluated as Balloon
Versus Total Object Sightings Less Balloon . . . . . . . . . 42
Figure 27 Comparison of Monthly Distribution of Object Sightings Evaluated as Insufficient
Information Versus Total Object Sightings Less Insufficient Information 43
Figure 28 Comparison of Monthly Distribution of Object Sightings Evaluated as Other
Versus Total Object Sightings Less Other 44
Figure 29 Comparison of Monthly Distribution of Object Sightings Evaluated as Unknown
Versus Total Object Sightings Less Unknown 45
Figure 30 Characteristics Profiles of Object Sightings by Total Sample, Known Evaluations,
, and Individual Known Evaluations, With Unknown Evaluations Superimposed -46
Figure 31 Frequency of Object, Unit, and All Sightings Within the U. S., 1947-1952, by
Subdivisions of One Degree of Latitude and Longitude . 47
Figure 32 Distribution of Object Sightings by Evaluation for the Twelve Regional Areas of
the U. S., With the Strategic Areas Located 48
Figure 33 Comparison of Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the
Central East Region • 49
Figure 34 Comparison of Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the
Central Midwest Region ' 50
Figure 35 Comparison of Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the
Central Farwest Region 51
Figure 36 Comparison of Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the
South Midwest Region 52
Figure 37 Comparison of Evaluation of Object Sightings in the Strategic Areas of the
South West Region . . . . . . . ' . 53
I V

Cases discussed

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Report, cited by the archive. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 309 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.