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Office of the Secretary of Defense: 027_Satellite_Flaring_Paper

Department of Defense. Office of the Secretary of Defense. · 2023 · 18 pages · text from the file's own layer

This information paper from the Department of Defense's All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) is dated December 2024 and was released in full in February 2025. It explains how sunlight reflecting off Starlink and other low Earth orbit satellites produces bright flares and satellite trains that observers can mistake for UAP. It gives step-by-step methods for predicting flare windows from the ground and from aircraft. It concludes that lights reported by an airline pilot near Gallup, New Mexico, in October 2022 were very likely satellite flares.

  • p. 1 All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO) 1 An AARO Information Paper Correlations of Starlink1 Satellite Flaring…
  • p. 3 …Satellite Flares and Satellite Trains Figure 4 shows a Starlink satellite in its operational configuration. Starlink…
  • p. 4 …Figure 5 below provides examples of each flare scenario. Figure 4: Rendering of Starlink satellite noting…
  • p. 5 …Estimating When and Where to See Starlink Flares The location and appearance of these flares is…
  • p. 6 …Image of Starlink flare taken by AARO personnel before sunrise on March 11, 2024 near Sidney…
  • p. 7 …point in the sky to potentially see flares. These geometries are shown in Figure 9. The…
  • p. 8 …In other words, the satellite and resultant flare are directly at the horizon. Realistically, no surface…
  • p. 9 …Step-by-step Process to Estimate Location of Flare Window We now have enough information needed…
  • p. 10 …Table 2 shows that the measured azimuths and altitudes of the exemplified flares fall within the…
  • p. 11 …Note that the azimuth to the Starlink flares falls within the predicted angles in Table 2…
  • p. 12 …Note that the azimuth to the Starlink flares falls within the predicted angles in Table 2…
  • p. 13 …s elevation look angle to potentially see flares for a given day, time, airborne observer location…
  • p. 14 …Use Figure 10 above to estimate the elevation look angle at which Starlink flares should have…
  • p. 15 …Example template for recording estimated azimuth and elevation for Starlink flares that could explain the UAP…
  • p. 16 …The red satellites are estimated to be flaring per this website. The red arrows were added…
  • p. 17 …short-lived flashes of light called “satellite flares.” Diffuse reflection from dozens of satellites launched in…
All-domain Anomaly Resolution Office (AARO)
10
Suppose AARO personnel want to gather images and video of Starlink flares to support the
development of this information paper. AARO personnel travel from March 8-12, 2024, and select
Sidney, NE as the destination. This is due to its ~4000 feet altitude within the High Plains and the
generally flat terrain in this area, both of which make conditions more favorable to observe space-
based objects near the horizon.
The necessary information is:
1. Observation location: Sidney, NE
2. Year: 2024
3. Day: March 10 after sunset and March 11 before sunrise
For steps 4 through 10, see Table 2 below. This was completed using https://www.suncalc.org.
Table 2 shows that the measured azimuths and altitudes of the exemplified flares fall within the
predicted values. Figure 12 and Figure 13 are example photos taken during the two timeframes
noted in Table 2. AARO used https://theskylive.com/planetarium to reference the flare locations
against the known positions of other celestial bodies, which are noted in the images.
Implications for Airborne Observation
Up to this point, the discussion has assumed the observer is located on the surface of the Earth.
However, the phenomena of satellite trains and flares are also visible from aircraft. The angles,
geometries, etc. may differ, but the fundamental principles are the same. For an airborne observer,
the opportunity to see flares can persist longer when flying East to West after sunset in the direction
of the Sun or West to East before sunrise in the direction of the Sun because they can stay in the
flare light cone longer.
Table 2: Example table completed for the scenario described above.
Observation Site Latitude 41.0064°
NOTES:
Sidney, NE Longitud
e
-103.1260°
After sunset Before sunrise
Date Time (L) Sun
Altitude
Azimuth Look
Angle
Date Time (L) Sun
Altitude
Azimuth Look
Angle
03/10/24 10:22PM -38° 305.2° 10° 03/11/24 2:44AM -46° 38.1° 0°
11:20PM -46° 321.6° 0° 3:43AM -38° 54.7° 10°
Measured Values of Satellite Flare Measured Values of Satellite Flare
Date Time (L) Flare
Azimuth
Flare
Elevation
Date Time (L) Flare
Azimuth
Flare
Elevation
03/10/24 10:38PM 309.6° 3.2° 03/11/24 3:13AM 47.4° 3.7°027Page determined to be Unclassified
Reviewed by Chief of Staff, AARO
IAW FY24 NDAA, Section 1841(a)(1)(C)
Date: 2/14/2025

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Official release, from the nara collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 18 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.