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Defense Intelligence Reference Document Cognitive Limits On Simultaneous Control Of Multiple Unmanned Spacecraft

Defense Intelligence Agency · 31 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Defense Intelligence Reference Document, dated 15 December 2010, is a Defense Intelligence Agency report from its Advanced Aerospace Weapons System Applications (AAWSA) Program. It looks at how many unmanned spacecraft one human pilot could control during future deep-space missions, drawing on research into air traffic control and piloting of multiple unmanned vehicles. It concludes that the limits are about 16 craft for simple tasks, 7 for moderately complex tasks and 4 for complex mixed fleets. It adds that physiological measures can signal when an operator is overloaded.

  • p. 5 …the focus of this paper as little work has been done in this specific area. However…
  • p. 6 …It is not a surprise that there is little work in this specific area - in fact…
  • p. 9 …The sympathetic system mediates response to stress, while the parasympathetic system works to maintain homeostasis and…
  • p. 13 …Only 1300 obeyed a Presidential order to return to work under the "peril to national safety…
  • p. 16 …during the 8-hour workday, night time after work. Additionally, controllers completed the State- Trait Anxiety…
  • p. 18 …time, an observation they note confirms earlier work on F4 crew members performing flight tasks of…
  • p. 21 …model with the SME approach doesn't work for predicting workload in the ATC task. 39…
  • p. 22 …it is intended for the pilot to work alongside the automation rather than rely on it…
  • p. 25 …This measure is called utilization and previous work in systems engineering 48 and queuing theory has…
  • p. 27 …The number of four is consistent with standard estimates of human working memory being able to…
  • p. 28 …picture can be maintained, even with external working memory augmentation, for more than about 16 objects…
  • p. 29 …Vigilance requires hard mental work and is stressful. Hum Factors 50, 433-441 (2008). 14 Dussault…
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Chapter 5: Discussion
We have insight into the maximum number of tracked objects in a multiple space
vehicle piloting experiment: it depends greatly on the complexity of the piloting and
mission tasks. Brookings showed that in the ATC task, mild complexity affected
performance even for a little as six planes being tracked by professional controllers,
whereas these controllers regularly track up to ten. Ruff showed that when there is
uncertainty in the augmentation system, a maximum of four craft can be controlled and
tasked to complete missions. The number of four is consistent with standard estimates
of human working memory being able to handle three to five disparate objects at a
time. This implies that disparate, complex interfaces require resources from working
memory to prevent loss of the big picture.
Augmentation of the human capabilities mainly appears to be helping to maintain a
higher number of working memory registers. Whether it is the handwritten blocks for
the ATCs, the stored instructions for the Dixon study, or the dual displays of Cummings,
the most effective augmentations in the studies above hold information for quick visual
retrieval that the brain would otherwise keep in working memory.
Any external automation system to assist the operator in making decisions will have an
associated error rate. It was also shown in the ATC and piloting tasks that alerts need
to contain a level of noise (false alarms) of 20-25% to avoid automation bias.
Regarding where the future of this work is headed, it is certain that the field is just
getting started. Apollo spacecraft required dozens of ground operators to monitor for
system failures, and just a few years ago it required two soldiers to operate a simple
reconnaissance drone (most of them still do). It is fortunate that ATC and UAV control
appear to be extremely applicable to the initial direction of remote space vehicle
operations. The 5-year timeframe should see spacecraft-specific simulator studies begin
to appear in major peer-reviewed journals.
The major advance to come in developing augmented human capability to pilot multiple
spacecraft will be in understanding the cognitive organization of multitasking. With
brain imaging it has been shown that multiple resource theory seems to follow the
anatomical organization of the brain. In the next 40 years we will find out why the
functional studies in multiple task completion don't seem to follow the predictions of
multiple resource theory.
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Report, from the dia collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 31 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.