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USSR: Measures of Economic Growth and Development, 1950-80

Central Intelligence Agency · 1982-12-08 · 399 pages · text from the file's own layer

This Joint Committee Print, dated December 8, 1982, gathers studies that the Central Intelligence Agency's Directorate of Intelligence prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress. It gives estimates of Soviet gross national product for 1950 to 1980, with indexes of industrial production, agricultural production and consumption, and explains the methods and data behind them. The foreword says official Soviet statistics inflate growth and that the CIA measures offer a more accurate picture. The document contains no UFO material.

Approved for Release: 2019/07/19 C05210421 Table 9 Derivations of 1970 Weights for Components of the Index of Soft Goods Retail Sales Military for Consumption H Subsistence b (Billion Rubles) (Billion Rubles) T.....1c"*"f"j_, _c,*" ‘::*7IiBI370T'_"”"7:" 1.19» Consumption in Kind _t§9_'!t_*1l%r!,¢§W__..__-_.._. _.,_ ,.__1, ____ Wwii 2.603 inf 7* .043 "9§i§!¥.-__.___,_ 169.1,. , _ _ 7 -020 Leathe1'__f0otw'eL *___A‘§._2_107g K R"PP§r.fm¢£,. __ , ___._,,-_-_;2_1r*,_,.,. ,_._,-- , ,_ Houselioldvsofapsanii detergents .651 f f f f Toilet soap and cosmetics 1.140 iii so "0 Scfhool thread V f 3.6’ V M g V r A W .010 i10ffiC6Sl5)pl1CS i 834 i if iii” _____ as _ Ji‘l17_____z_.____,, _ _ . 1.360 1.00.1 1.141 .246 13.954 2.646 3.3 2.4 2.7 .6 33.6 6.3 10.3 4.1 15.2 2.1 .5 1.6 2.7 8.7 2.0 KF?l‘9‘!F?'Y‘{¢_*!E__,_,__ ,.__.__,_iL%7_______-, 3. _ __T_T::T1.1T5W 4-310 1.711 6.333 .865 .214 .651 1.140 3.633 .834an . Publications 1.640 1.640 3.9 B Total retail sales, less institutional purchases. services and commis- sion sales. Retail sales are given in Narkhoz 1972, pp. 584-85. Institutional purchases were distributed on the basis of the shares in last half 1968-first half 1969 shown in Vest stat, No. 5, 1971, p. 37. Services were allocated on the basis of data in Narkhoz I972, p. 621. Cloth used in repair and tailoring of clothing and knitwear was allocated to fabrics in accordance with their respective shares in retail trade. Laundry and dry cleaning services were allocated to clothing. , b Military subsistence was distributed among groups on the basis of information concerning the basic clothing ration and its cost by item. C Wool. 4 Excluding fur and fur products. negligible for other footwear. One index—~clothing— is based on official data on the value of production in constant rubles; the data are given in the above-noted sources. Few interpolations had to be made. Eight indexes are based on deflated retail sales: fabrics (cotton, wool, silk, linen), haberdashery, school and office supplies, household soap and detergents, and toilet soap and cosmetics. Retail sales in current prices are available for nearly all years in the annual Narkhozy (e.g., Narkhoz 1972, pp. 584-585) as are specific indexes of state retail prices (e.g. Narkhoz 1972, p. 603). Price indexes for linen cloth, household soap and detergents, and toilet soap and cosmetics were derived from current values and published index- es of the value of sales in constant prices (e.g.. Narkhoz 1972, p. 555). The index for publications is based on retail sales in current prices until 1977; no important price changes are known to have been made for these goods until then, the prices of which are kept low as a matter of social policy. . Durables and Miscellaneous Goods Scope and Coverage. The index implicitly covers all goods purchased in state and cooperative retail out- lets, except those covered by the indexes for “food, beverages and tobacco" and for “soft goods." The 341 93-892 O - 82 — 23 Approved for Release: 2 019/07/19 C05210421

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FOIA release, from the cia-readingroom collection. The PDF is mirrored here; the original link is under it. 399 pages are in the text index: search them above, or from the library's search.